Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.197074 54.114416 61.303917 69.302723 77.922388 86.902430 96.936023
2024-10-27 35.202195 44.670552 55.097082 67.298535 81.058371 95.978166 113.262806
2024-11-03 30.688529 41.848204 54.635197 70.099265 88.037373 107.956285 131.517140
2024-11-10 26.845226 39.117630 53.690743 71.822133 93.354901 117.731190 147.042479
2024-11-17 22.518764 35.204288 50.834686 70.838503 95.140294 123.155195 157.356143
2024-11-24 18.964051 31.818080 48.239432 69.822492 96.593169 127.959079 166.763527
2024-12-01 16.470469 29.528797 46.772623 69.975905 99.274983 134.075851 177.607021
2024-12-08 14.371998 27.533152 45.483636 70.180288 101.883056 140.008115 188.169089
2024-12-15 12.729904 25.999580 44.658090 70.855280 104.983183 146.474000 199.336705
2024-12-22 10.814786 23.823612 42.768907 69.978042 105.998519 150.305359 207.270336
2024-12-29 9.752756 22.857735 42.486173 71.175767 109.622615 157.329816 219.080029
2025-01-05 8.880989 22.098260 42.426613 72.623295 113.539265 164.709275 231.337141
2025-01-12 7.519014 20.351335 40.817260 71.878740 114.577646 168.518629 239.290308
2025-01-19 6.060845 18.208023 38.442623 69.924911 113.912348 170.107442 244.454983
2025-01-26 5.775854 18.242127 39.433999 72.778645 119.706949 179.955419 259.956670
2025-02-02 5.303704 17.840074 39.691328 74.544154 124.021243 187.914104 273.119592
2025-02-09 4.387827 16.373043 38.116375 73.537088 124.489080 190.869744 279.964457
2025-02-16 3.589695 14.997905 36.580252 72.497082 124.843192 193.630938 286.533870
2025-02-23 3.066742 14.149189 35.870454 72.654128 126.829085 198.508556 295.792858
2025-03-02 2.613314 13.372361 35.223908 72.863352 128.860247 203.433648 305.115467
2025-03-09 2.269470 12.804896 34.906579 73.554296 131.558401 209.239743 315.581042
2025-03-16 1.802334 11.756574 33.621912 72.656316 131.941041 211.936691 322.026733
2025-03-23 1.595168 11.434853 33.676409 73.882337 135.379619 218.729475 333.791584